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Red59
606822.8
971733.8
541012.5
Blue79
45644.5
1030914.0
586314.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60702040801001205979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
39Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
59Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.8
20.421.2
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End6.6
blue by 10.7
456
#2
44.52.0
35.437.4
Auto5.5
Teleop34.3
End4.7
Second
6068
#26
22.80.8
13.514.3
Auto4.8
Teleop16.3
End1.7
red by 8.2
5863
#34
14.62.0
10.812.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Third
5410
#29
12.50.8
18.018.8
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End0.8
blue by 1.5
14.02.0
14.416.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned