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Red71
601731.8
401311.7
880834.2
Blue61
971219.4
915321.8
408731.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89742040601001201401607161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
8Coral scored#6
29Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
39Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points14
71Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.3
26.025.6
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End5.2
red by 2.2
31.91.6
30.128.5
Auto6.0
Teleop21.4
End4.6
Second
31.80.2
34.734.5
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End6.9
red by 10.1
9153
#12
21.81.6
17.115.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End0.5
Third
4013
#15
11.70.3
13.513.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.9
blue by 7.7
9712
#19
19.41.6
14.112.6
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed