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Red18
973414.7
940514.8
95036.3
Blue106
804453.2
146625.4
930911.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3792020608010012014018106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+68
Endgame+70
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +54
2Coral scored#13
8Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
8Total teleop62
Reef
1L4#5
0L3#4
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
2Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
0Foul points18
18Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9405
#31
14.82.3
18.816.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 38.5
53.20.8
49.450.2
Auto14.7
Teleop29.8
End8.7
Second
9734
#24
14.72.3
12.710.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End2.3
blue by 10.7
1466
#10
25.41.3
21.322.6
Auto4.7
Teleop20.5
End0.3
Third
9503
#35
6.32.3
7.45.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.3
blue by 5.1
9309
#30
11.41.3
5.56.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed