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Red71
162210.0
401311.7
408731.9
Blue101
146625.4
971733.8
709421.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617220408010012071101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points41
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
42Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
71Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.9
28.529.5
Auto6.0
Teleop21.4
End4.6
blue by 1.9
33.83.4
21.224.5
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End6.6
Second
4013
#15
11.70.9
13.114.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.9
blue by 13.7
1466
#10
25.43.4
22.625.9
Auto4.7
Teleop20.5
End0.3
Third
1622
#18
10.00.6
10.110.7
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End1.1
blue by 11.3
7094
#23
21.33.4
15.418.8
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned