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Red29
95036.3
601731.8
74749.8
Blue49
313913.9
36426.6
940514.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557102040801001202949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
1Coral scored#4
2Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
2Total teleop26
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
29Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.3
33.932.7
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End6.9
red by 5.2
364
#9
26.61.4
28.026.5
Auto5.3
Teleop17.7
End3.7
Second
7474
#32
9.82.1
8.86.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.2
blue by 5.0
9405
#31
14.81.4
16.515.1
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Third
9503
#35
6.32.1
5.13.0
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.3
blue by 7.6
3139
#17
13.91.4
17.416.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned