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Red69
74749.8
709421.3
541012.5
Blue94
222117.5
299249.1
971219.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67810501001502006994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+41
Endgame+39
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +40
8Coral scored#16
28Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
42Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
14Foul points0
69Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7094
#23
21.32.8
21.819.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.0
blue by 27.8
49.10.6
34.635.2
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End2.1
Second
5410
#29
12.52.8
21.618.8
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End0.8
blue by 7.0
9712
#19
19.40.6
17.718.2
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Third
7474
#32DQ
9.82.8
16.513.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.2
blue by 7.8
2221
#14
17.50.6
17.417.9
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed