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Red76
313913.9
45644.5
146625.4
Blue49
303921.9
915321.8
1030914.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82760501502002503003504007649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +28
10Coral scored#7
36Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
62Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
76Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#2
44.50.2
27.927.7
Auto5.5
Teleop34.3
End4.7
red by 22.6
3039
#28
21.92.3
31.228.9
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End2.6
Second
1466
#10
25.40.2
25.425.2
Auto4.7
Teleop20.5
End0.3
red by 3.6
9153
#12
21.82.3
17.715.4
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End0.5
Third
3139
#17
13.90.2
18.218.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End3.2
Level
14.01.5
14.015.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed