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Red76
361624.5
433629.3
162210.0
Blue72
973414.7
971733.8
218326.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8364020401001201407672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+12Teleop
Endgame+2
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points41
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
64Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
6Foul points0
76Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.6
29.829.2
Auto3.5
Teleop24.4
End1.4
blue by 4.5
33.81.5
16.618.1
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End6.6
Second
3616
#16
24.50.6
27.627.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.2
blue by 1.9
2183
#13
26.41.5
24.325.8
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End2.9
Third
1622
#18
10.00.3
11.511.2
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End1.1
blue by 4.7
9734
#24
14.71.5
14.516.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned