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Red93
971733.8
971219.4
433629.3
Blue66
408731.9
222117.5
303921.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76702040601001209366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
68Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points8
93Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.82.1
24.526.7
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End6.6
red by 1.9
31.91.2
29.528.3
Auto6.0
Teleop21.4
End4.6
Second
29.32.1
29.631.8
Auto3.5
Teleop24.4
End1.4
red by 7.4
3039
#28
21.91.2
17.616.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End2.6
Third
9712
#19
19.42.1
13.515.7
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End2.7
red by 1.9
2221
#14
17.51.2
16.415.2
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed