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Red77
218326.4
95036.3
45644.5
Blue74
601731.8
191232.2
973414.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84857080901007774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+11Teleop
+1Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
9Coral scored#8
32Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
56Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
2Foul points0
77Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#2
44.50.6
40.641.2
Auto5.5
Teleop34.3
End4.7
red by 12.3
1912
#11
32.20.3
26.526.8
Auto6.8
Teleop22.2
End3.1
Second
2183
#13
26.40.6
25.626.2
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End2.9
blue by 5.4
31.80.2
32.732.8
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End6.9
Third
9503
#35
6.30.6
3.03.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.3
blue by 8.4
9734
#24
14.70.3
12.512.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned