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Red53
162210.0
313913.9
586314.6
Blue66
709421.3
940514.8
606822.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49670204060801001205366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
8Coral scored#8
28Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
36Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
8Foul points10
53Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5863
#34
14.60.8
14.013.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End0.7
blue by 8.2
6068
#26
22.80.8
18.117.3
Auto4.8
Teleop16.3
End1.7
Second
3139
#17
13.90.8
16.015.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End3.2
blue by 7.4
7094
#23
21.30.8
18.818.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.0
Third
1622
#18
10.00.5
10.710.2
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End1.1
blue by 4.8
9405
#31
14.80.8
15.114.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed