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Red56
142120.9
586314.6
74749.8
Blue61
146625.4
162210.0
410721.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48700204060801001205661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+11
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +1
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
47Total teleop48
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#14
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
56Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#36
20.90.2
18.218.4
Auto0.9
Teleop17.8
End2.2
blue by 4.5
1466
#10
25.40.8
24.323.5
Auto4.7
Teleop20.5
End0.3
Second
5863
#34
14.60.2
13.213.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End0.7
blue by 6.9
4107
#22
21.50.8
22.721.8
Auto4.5
Teleop15.9
End1.1
Third
7474
#32
9.80.2
8.78.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.2
blue by 0.2
1622
#18
10.00.5
10.29.7
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed