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Red109
59017.0
222117.5
915321.8
Blue51
943510.1
95036.3
361624.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64390208010010951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
9Coral scored#7
33Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
59Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
30Foul points0
109Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9153
#12
21.82.1
18.820.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End0.5
blue by 2.7
3616
#16
24.50.5
21.421.9
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.2
Second
2221
#14
17.52.1
17.019.1
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 7.4
9435
#33
10.10.6
9.39.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.2
Third
590
#20
17.02.3
13.515.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End2.5
red by 10.7
9503
#35
6.30.6
5.66.2
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed