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Red65
973414.7
299249.1
Blue21
192717.3
541012.5
313913.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765202040601001201406521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+44Teleop
+42Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
9Coral scored#2
33Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
43Total teleop6
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
2Foul points0
65Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.0
42.342.4
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End2.1
red by 31.8
1927
#25
17.32.7
17.614.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Second
9734
#24
14.70.0
14.214.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End2.3
red by 0.8
3139
#17
13.92.7
15.012.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End3.2
Third
9.30.0
6.16.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.0
End0.8
blue by 3.2
5410
#29
12.52.7
16.714.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed