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Red74
375318.1
930911.4
971733.8
Blue105
191232.2
606822.8
880834.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4886020406010012014074105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+27
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave9
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points10
20Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +16
9Coral scored#13
32Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
50Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points4
74Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.81.9
28.530.4
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End6.6
blue by 0.3
34.22.1
26.929.0
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End5.2
Second
3753
#27
18.11.9
12.914.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End1.0
blue by 14.1
1912
#11
32.22.1
28.630.7
Auto6.8
Teleop22.2
End3.1
Third
9309
#30
11.41.9
7.19.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End0.8
blue by 11.4
6068
#26
22.82.2
18.821.0
Auto4.8
Teleop16.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned