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Red69
586314.6
410721.5
915321.8
Blue64
146625.4
375318.1
973414.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65592040801006964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
16Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +8
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
53Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
69Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9153
#12
21.80.7
20.921.6
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End0.5
blue by 3.6
1466
#10
25.40.5
23.524.0
Auto4.7
Teleop20.5
End0.3
Second
4107
#22
21.50.7
21.822.5
Auto4.5
Teleop15.9
End1.1
red by 3.5
3753
#27
18.10.5
14.815.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End1.0
Third
5863
#34
14.60.7
13.414.1
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End0.7
blue by 0.1
9734
#24
14.70.5
14.214.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed