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Red123
433629.3
299249.1
146625.4
Blue109
606822.8
804453.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11289406080100120140160123109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+26Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +36
21Coral scored#14
75Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
105Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#5
8L3#7
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
123Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.11.2
45.446.6
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End2.1
blue by 4.2
53.21.3
50.151.3
Auto14.7
Teleop29.8
End8.7
Second
29.31.3
28.129.4
Auto3.5
Teleop24.4
End1.4
red by 6.5
6068
#26
22.81.8
21.022.8
Auto4.8
Teleop16.3
End1.7
Third
1466
#10
25.41.3
24.025.3
Auto4.7
Teleop20.5
End0.3
red by 16.1
9.31.5
7.89.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned