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Red163
804453.2
709421.3
880834.2
Blue50
162210.0
222117.5
401311.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13044010015020016350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+89Teleop
+113Endgame
+113Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave3
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +65
21Coral scored#7
75Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
107Total teleop42
Reef
9L4#2
10L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#12
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +113
0Foul points0
163Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.21.1
51.352.5
Auto14.7
Teleop29.8
End8.7
red by 35.7
2221
#14
17.50.1
17.717.7
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Second
34.21.4
31.833.2
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End5.2
red by 22.4
4013
#15
11.70.1
11.911.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.9
Third
7094
#23
21.31.5
18.820.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.0
red by 11.3
1622
#18
10.00.0
10.210.1
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End1.1