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Red65
408731.9
410721.5
601731.8
Blue109
971733.8
303921.9
36426.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10088608012014065109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+36
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +28
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
6Processor points12
0Net points16
6Algae points28
34Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
65Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.7
33.232.5
Auto6.0
Teleop21.4
End4.6
blue by 1.9
33.80.8
33.434.2
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End6.6
Second
31.80.5
32.832.2
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End6.9
red by 5.2
364
#9
26.60.8
26.227.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.7
End3.7
Third
4107
#22
21.50.6
22.722.1
Auto4.5
Teleop15.9
End1.1
blue by 0.4
3039
#28
21.90.9
21.422.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End2.6