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Red77
408731.9
410721.5
601731.8
Blue52
971733.8
303921.9
36426.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98924060801201401607752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
6Coral scored#8
22Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
12Processor points6
8Net points0
20Algae points6
42Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points6
77Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.5
33.332.8
Auto6.0
Teleop21.4
End4.6
blue by 1.9
33.81.1
34.933.8
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End6.6
Second
31.80.4
32.832.4
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End6.9
red by 5.2
364
#9
26.61.1
27.726.6
Auto5.3
Teleop17.7
End3.7
Third
4107
#22
21.50.5
22.822.3
Auto4.5
Teleop15.9
End1.1
blue by 0.4
3039
#28
21.91.3
23.221.9
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End2.6