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Red121
804453.2
709421.3
880834.2
Blue124
299249.1
45644.5
375318.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128126100110120140150160121124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
13Coral scored#16
45Coral points59
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
18Processor points12
12Net points24
30Algae points36
75Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points6
121Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.3
53.453.7
Auto14.7
Teleop29.8
End8.7
red by 4.2
49.10.3
47.848.1
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End2.1
Second
34.20.3
34.434.7
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End5.2
blue by 10.3
456
#2
44.50.3
43.143.4
Auto5.5
Teleop34.3
End4.7
Third
7094
#23
21.30.3
21.621.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.0
red by 3.3
3753
#27
18.10.3
16.717.0
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End1.0