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Red64
1030914.0
146625.4
915321.8
Blue118
408731.9
410721.5
601731.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66102020408012014016064118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+28
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +22
10Coral scored#18
37Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
55Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
64Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#10
25.40.1
25.525.4
Auto4.7
Teleop20.5
End0.3
blue by 6.5
31.90.8
32.533.3
Auto6.0
Teleop21.4
End4.6
Second
9153
#12
21.80.1
21.921.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End0.5
blue by 10.1
31.80.6
32.232.8
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End6.9
Third
14.00.1
14.114.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
blue by 7.6
4107
#22
21.50.7
22.122.8
Auto4.5
Teleop15.9
End1.1