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Red122
971733.8
303921.9
36426.6
Blue107
191232.2
142120.9
361624.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10393406080120140160122107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+7Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +4
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
86Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#4
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points6
122Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.5
34.434.9
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End6.6
red by 1.6
1912
#11
32.20.2
31.932.2
Auto6.8
Teleop22.2
End3.1
Second
364
#9
26.60.5
27.227.7
Auto5.3
Teleop17.7
End3.7
red by 2.2
3616
#16
24.50.2
24.224.5
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.2
Third
3039
#28
21.90.6
22.623.2
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End2.6
red by 1.0
1421
#36
20.90.2
20.720.9
Auto0.9
Teleop17.8
End2.2