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Red127
299249.1
45644.5
375318.1
Blue72
1030914.0
146625.4
915321.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131665010015020012772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+43Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
27Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +36
18Coral scored#11
64Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
88Total teleop52
Reef
11L4#6
5L3#3
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
12Cage & park0
12Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
127Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.4
47.447.8
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End2.1
red by 23.7
1466
#10
25.40.1
25.425.5
Auto4.7
Teleop20.5
End0.3
Second
456
#2
44.50.4
42.743.1
Auto5.5
Teleop34.3
End4.7
red by 22.7
9153
#12
21.80.1
21.721.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End0.5
Third
3753
#27
18.10.4
16.316.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End1.0
red by 4.1
14.00.1
13.914.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6