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Red161
804453.2
709421.3
880834.2
Blue92
971733.8
303921.9
36426.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12993608010012014016018016192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+45Teleop
+57Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +31
16Coral scored#13
59Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
93Total teleop62
Reef
10L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +69
12Foul points0
161Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.21.0
52.553.4
Auto14.7
Teleop29.8
End8.7
red by 19.4
33.80.2
34.234.4
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End6.6
Second
34.21.2
33.234.4
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End5.2
red by 7.5
364
#9
26.60.2
27.027.2
Auto5.3
Teleop17.7
End3.7
Third
7094
#23
21.31.3
20.321.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.0
blue by 0.6
3039
#28
21.90.3
22.322.6
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End2.6