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Red237
97182.2
281358.1
1323B80.0
Blue281
254100.8
661940.9
1323117.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220270100150200250300350400237281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+34
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +23
3Leave6
10Coral scored#14
51Coral points71
54Total auto77
TeleoperatedBlue +11
24Coral scored#35
87Coral points126
5Processor algae#3
10Net algae#6
30Processor points18
40Net points24
70Algae points42
157Total teleop168
Reef
12L4#11
11L3#19
6L2#12
5L1 · trough#7
49Game pieces#58
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
237Total score281

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#5
82.20.5
80.280.7
Auto14.8
Teleop57.3
End10.1
blue by 34.9
117.00.5
116.3116.9
Auto28.3
Teleop76.6
End12.1
Second
80.00.6
77.478.1
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End9.3
blue by 20.8
254
#2
100.80.5
100.1100.6
Auto27.4
Teleop63.8
End9.6
Third
2813
#17
58.10.5
57.658.1
Auto9.7
Teleop38.6
End9.8
red by 17.2
6619
#31
40.90.5
40.240.8
Auto5.3
Teleop29.1
End6.5