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Red285
254100.8
661940.9
1323117.0
Blue218
213565.2
207355.5
167154.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277169100150200250300350285218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+55Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
0Leave0
15Coral scored#10
77Coral points51
77Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +29
34Coral scored#29
124Coral points105
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
24Processor points18
24Net points20
48Algae points38
172Total teleop143
Reef
20L4#16
10L3#14
9L2#5
10L1 · trough#4
59Game pieces#47
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
285Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.00.7
115.6116.3
Auto28.3
Teleop76.6
End12.1
red by 51.8
65.21.0
64.265.2
Auto19.3
Teleop42.9
End2.9
Second
254
#2
100.80.7
99.4100.1
Auto27.4
Teleop63.8
End9.6
red by 45.3
2073
#25
55.51.0
54.555.5
Auto12.4
Teleop35.8
End7.3
Third
6619
#31
40.90.7
39.640.2
Auto5.3
Teleop29.1
End6.5
blue by 13.7
1671
#15
54.61.0
53.654.6
Auto13.9
Teleop36.1
End4.7