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Red188
601739.7
1678D64.1
594073.0
Blue200
213565.2
207355.5
167154.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19318050100150250300350188200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
6Coral scored#10
28Coral points51
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +8
22Coral scored#28
79Coral points99
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
18Processor points18
28Net points16
46Algae points34
125Total teleop133
Reef
9L4#14
10L3#9
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#7
38Game pieces#45
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
188Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#11
73.00.3
72.773.0
Auto19.0
Teleop45.1
End8.9
red by 7.8
65.20.7
63.564.2
Auto19.3
Teleop42.9
End2.9
Second
64.10.4
63.864.1
Auto17.0
Teleop42.6
End4.5
red by 8.6
2073
#25
55.50.7
53.854.5
Auto12.4
Teleop35.8
End7.3
Third
6017
#32
39.70.3
39.539.7
Auto4.1
Teleop28.8
End6.9
blue by 14.9
1671
#15
54.60.7
52.953.6
Auto13.9
Teleop36.1
End4.7