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Red191
581B70.0
1678B40.5
97182.2
Blue201
630533.0
1323B80.0
254B55.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188141050100250300350400191201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +31
0Leave9
9Coral scored#1
44Coral points4
44Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +27
20Coral scored#36
73Coral points128
4Processor algae#2
9Net algae#5
24Processor points12
36Net points20
60Algae points32
133Total teleop160
Reef
11L4#16
10L3#11
6L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points2
191Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#5
82.21.5
73.875.3
Auto14.8
Teleop57.3
End10.1
red by 2.2
80.016.4
80.063.6
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End9.3
Second
581B
#24
70.024.0
70.046.0
Auto17.9
Teleop45.2
End6.9
red by 14.8
254B
#10
55.31.0
55.354.3
Auto9.0
Teleop39.6
End6.7
Third
40.57.6
40.548.2
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.1
red by 7.6
6305
#27
33.04.4
23.628.0
Auto4.0
Teleop27.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned