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Red181
581757.0
6657B19.1
1323117.0
Blue159
213565.2
167154.6
803340.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21017750100150250300350181159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +20
9Leave3
4Coral scored#10
22Coral points48
31Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +38
24Coral scored#17
86Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
12Processor points12
32Net points20
44Algae points32
130Total teleop92
Reef
12L4#11
8L3#10
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points0
181Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.01.1
112.5111.4
Auto28.3
Teleop76.6
End12.1
red by 51.8
65.20.9
61.760.8
Auto19.3
Teleop42.9
End2.9
Second
5817
#14
57.01.1
54.553.4
Auto8.2
Teleop47.4
End1.5
red by 2.4
1671
#15
54.60.9
46.745.8
Auto13.9
Teleop36.1
End4.7
Third
19.10.6
19.119.7
Auto2.0
Teleop17.4
End-0.3
blue by 21.4
8033
#47
40.50.9
61.060.1
Auto10.7
Teleop25.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned69%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed