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Red154
97358.7
971B38.6
469856.1
Blue147
281358.1
970618.4
167890.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145190050100250300350400154147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
Teleop+3
+5Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
8Coral scored#4
39Coral points20
48Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +31
16Coral scored#24
58Coral points87
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
80Total teleop111
Reef
10L4#10
6L3#10
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#33
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
2Foul points0
154Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#6
58.70.8
58.058.8
Auto14.1
Teleop35.3
End9.3
blue by 31.9
90.51.6
91.389.7
Auto24.9
Teleop55.5
End10.1
Second
56.10.8
44.845.6
Auto18.3
Teleop28.3
End9.6
blue by 2.0
2813
#17
58.11.6
62.060.4
Auto9.7
Teleop38.6
End9.8
Third
971B
#26
38.60.4
38.638.9
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End2.1
red by 20.2
9706
#40
18.41.8
17.615.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned91%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned