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Red96
4698B16.9
6647B30.4
841B39.4
Blue67
1323C48.9
592414.7
601739.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711400501002002503003504009667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
+27Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +10
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points32
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
18Processor points18
16Net points12
34Algae points30
72Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
2Foul points0
96Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841B
#42
39.41.9
39.437.5
Auto5.0
Teleop31.1
End3.3
blue by 9.4
48.91.4
48.950.2
Auto5.6
Teleop41.4
End2.0
Second
30.412.4
30.418.1
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End4.7
blue by 9.3
6017
#32
39.73.3
37.133.8
Auto4.1
Teleop28.8
End6.9
Third
16.98.1
16.925.0
Auto6.4
Teleop4.0
End6.5
red by 2.2
5924
#46
14.73.3
23.620.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsMissed