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Red149
661940.9
594073.0
958430.1
Blue143
1678D64.1
11433.1
5940B15.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18914550100250300149143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+2Teleop
+4Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points18
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +6
22Coral scored#19
78Coral points68
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
6Processor points18
24Net points16
30Algae points34
108Total teleop102
Reef
9L4#7
8L3#6
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
2Foul points0
149Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#11
73.01.1
79.278.1
Auto19.0
Teleop45.1
End8.9
red by 8.9
64.117.9
64.146.3
Auto17.0
Teleop42.6
End4.5
Second
6619
#31
40.91.1
45.544.4
Auto5.3
Teleop29.1
End6.5
red by 7.9
114
#44
33.10.8
40.841.6
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End0.8
Third
9584
#34
30.11.1
32.631.5
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End6.7
red by 15.0
15.125.9
15.141.0
Auto0.9
Teleop12.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
75%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsMissed