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Red203
469856.1
664736.1
254B55.3
Blue149
6657B19.1
207355.5
58190.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136185050100250300350203149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+42Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points35
27Total auto38
TeleoperatedRed +53
25Coral scored#17
90Coral points61
4Processor algae#2
9Net algae#6
24Processor points12
36Net points24
60Algae points36
150Total teleop97
Reef
10L4#7
9L3#8
5L2#6
6L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#32
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
203Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.14.1
45.649.7
Auto18.3
Teleop28.3
End9.6
blue by 34.8
581
#3
90.91.4
88.286.8
Auto19.7
Teleop61.7
End9.5
Second
254B
#10
55.36.8
54.361.1
Auto9.0
Teleop39.6
End6.7
blue by 0.2
2073
#25
55.51.4
54.052.6
Auto12.4
Teleop35.8
End7.3
Third
6647
#35
36.14.1
32.836.9
Auto5.7
Teleop27.6
End2.8
red by 17.0
19.12.3
19.717.4
Auto2.0
Teleop17.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned