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Red125
665739.2
1678C36.1
971B38.6
Blue87
601739.7
1678B40.5
973B17.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117119608010014016012587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+48Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +38
19Coral scored#10
67Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
93Total teleop55
Reef
8L4#4
8L3#3
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
125Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6657
#21
39.21.3
35.536.8
Auto9.8
Teleop25.7
End3.7
blue by 1.4
40.51.4
44.042.5
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.1
Second
971B
#26
38.62.2
32.634.8
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End2.1
blue by 1.2
6017
#32
39.70.9
35.534.7
Auto4.1
Teleop28.8
End6.9
Third
36.12.2
37.439.5
Auto7.9
Teleop25.9
End2.3
red by 18.9
973B
#41
17.20.9
20.419.5
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned