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Red165
167154.6
97182.2
5419B30.5
Blue58
5940B15.1
2073B33.1
2813B19.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1699405015020025016558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+105Teleop
+107Endgame
+107Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
6Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points1
33Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +82
25Coral scored#8
90Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
128Total teleop46
Reef
10L4#2
8L3#3
6L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
38Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +107
0Foul points0
165Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#5
82.21.4
77.178.5
Auto14.8
Teleop57.3
End10.1
red by 49.0
33.13.9
29.025.1
Auto8.0
Teleop25.2
End-0.1
Second
1671
#15
54.61.4
44.946.3
Auto13.9
Teleop36.1
End4.7
red by 35.4
19.23.9
28.324.4
Auto2.8
Teleop14.4
End2.0
Third
30.52.4
21.624.0
Auto0.5
Teleop25.6
End4.4
red by 15.4
15.13.9
35.831.9
Auto0.9
Teleop12.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned56%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed