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Red215
1323117.0
630533.0
6647B30.4
Blue237
581C38.0
58190.9
254100.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17125150100150200300350400215237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+30
Endgame+28
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points41
37Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +20
27Coral scored#23
98Coral points84
5Processor algae#6
7Net algae#14
30Processor points36
28Net points56
58Algae points92
156Total teleop176
Reef
10L4#10
11L3#7
7L2#9
6L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#51
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
6Foul points0
215Total score237

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.02.7
113.3115.9
Auto28.3
Teleop76.6
End12.1
red by 16.2
254
#2
100.80.6
90.090.7
Auto27.4
Teleop63.8
End9.6
Second
6305
#27
33.02.7
29.732.4
Auto4.0
Teleop27.9
End1.0
blue by 58.0
581
#3
90.90.6
86.887.4
Auto19.7
Teleop61.7
End9.5
Third
30.44.4
21.025.4
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End4.7
blue by 7.5
581C
#18
38.01.0
44.845.9
Auto7.9
Teleop27.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned