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Red132
6657B19.1
469856.1
958430.1
Blue148
581757.0
4698B16.9
5026B28.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101086080100120140160132148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points10
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +43
16Coral scored#27
58Coral points97
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
86Total teleop129
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#7
5L2#9
3L1 · trough#7
28Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
132Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.11.0
49.750.6
Auto18.3
Teleop28.3
End9.6
blue by 0.9
5817
#14
57.02.0
55.157.1
Auto8.2
Teleop47.4
End1.5
Second
9584
#34
30.11.0
30.731.6
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End6.7
red by 1.5
28.63.3
20.023.4
Auto2.2
Teleop23.2
End3.3
Third
19.11.6
17.419.0
Auto2.0
Teleop17.4
End-0.3
red by 2.2
16.93.3
23.526.8
Auto6.4
Teleop4.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsEarned