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Red204
1678D64.1
502648.0
167890.5
Blue171
664736.1
581B70.0
207355.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211142050100250300350204171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
10Coral scored#6
52Coral points28
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +10
17Coral scored#23
62Coral points84
6Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
36Processor points12
20Net points12
56Algae points24
118Total teleop108
Reef
11L4#12
7L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
38Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
2Foul points0
204Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.51.0
86.287.2
Auto24.9
Teleop55.5
End10.1
red by 20.5
581B
#24
70.03.5
49.853.3
Auto17.9
Teleop45.2
End6.9
Second
64.11.7
50.452.1
Auto17.0
Teleop42.6
End4.5
red by 8.6
2073
#25
55.52.1
52.654.7
Auto12.4
Teleop35.8
End7.3
Third
5026
#22
48.01.0
49.750.8
Auto11.9
Teleop29.4
End6.7
red by 11.8
6647
#35
36.12.1
36.939.0
Auto5.7
Teleop27.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned