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Qual 242025 Madtown Throwdown
Red136
541935.3
803340.5
254B55.3
Blue179
1323B80.0
1323C48.9
661940.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17117480100120140160200220240136179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+45
Endgame+35
Fouls+43
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +49
15Coral scored#27
55Coral points98
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
18Processor points24
20Net points20
38Algae points44
93Total teleop142
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#10
3L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points8
136Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254B
#10
55.33.6
61.1→57.5
Auto9.0
Teleop39.6
End6.7
blue by 24.7
1323B
#7
80.00.5
59.4→59.9
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End9.3
Second
8033
#47
40.52.1
50.1→48.0
Auto10.7
Teleop25.7
End4.1
blue by 8.4
1323C
#16
48.90.5
49.8→50.3
Auto5.6
Teleop41.4
End2.0
Third
5419
#23
35.32.1
44.8→42.7
Auto7.8
Teleop21.8
End5.7
blue by 5.7
6619
#31
40.90.3
46.7→47.0
Auto5.3
Teleop29.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed