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Red128
970618.4
97358.7
581C38.0
Blue134
2073B33.1
213565.2
397059.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120168050100150200250300128134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points31
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +3
14Coral scored#19
50Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
90Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#5
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
6Foul points0
128Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#6
58.70.3
54.755.0
Auto14.1
Teleop35.3
End9.3
blue by 6.6
65.21.4
61.159.7
Auto19.3
Teleop42.9
End2.9
Second
581C
#18
38.00.6
45.946.4
Auto7.9
Teleop27.5
End2.5
blue by 21.6
3970
#43
59.61.4
65.263.9
Auto10.2
Teleop41.8
End7.6
Third
9706
#40
18.40.3
13.814.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.8
End3.0
blue by 14.7
33.12.3
25.122.8
Auto8.0
Teleop25.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed