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Red275
254100.8
4698B16.9
167890.5
Blue165
502648.0
661940.9
581757.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23815850100200300350275165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+51Auto
+98Teleop
+108Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +51
9Leave3
12Coral scored#3
61Coral points16
70Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +47
33Coral scored#23
119Coral points84
5Processor algae#5
7Net algae#4
30Processor points30
28Net points16
58Algae points46
177Total teleop130
Reef
16L4#8
15L3#6
6L2#7
8L1 · trough#5
57Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +110
2Foul points0
275Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
100.83.6
90.794.3
Auto27.4
Teleop63.8
End9.6
red by 43.7
5817
#14
57.00.2
57.156.9
Auto8.2
Teleop47.4
End1.5
Second
90.53.6
87.290.8
Auto24.9
Teleop55.5
End10.1
red by 42.6
5026
#22
48.00.2
50.850.5
Auto11.9
Teleop29.4
End6.7
Third
16.96.0
26.832.8
Auto6.4
Teleop4.0
End6.5
blue by 24.1
6619
#31
40.90.2
47.046.8
Auto5.3
Teleop29.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned