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Red90
11433.1
2813B19.2
592414.7
Blue174
1678D64.1
254B55.3
6657B19.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6416005010020025030090174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+84
Endgame+84
Fouls+84
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +90
15Coral scored#31
55Coral points113
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#7
12Processor points24
8Net points28
20Algae points52
75Total teleop165
Reef
5L4#13
5L3#11
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points0
90Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#44
33.10.1
34.334.5
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End0.8
blue by 31.0
64.13.1
52.155.3
Auto17.0
Teleop42.6
End4.5
Second
19.20.2
24.424.6
Auto2.8
Teleop14.4
End2.0
blue by 36.1
254B
#10
55.33.1
57.560.6
Auto9.0
Teleop39.6
End6.7
Third
5924
#46
14.70.1
14.014.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End0.6
blue by 4.4
19.13.1
19.022.1
Auto2.0
Teleop17.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned