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Red146
581C38.0
594073.0
541935.3
Blue135
803340.5
970618.4
581B70.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193124050100150250146135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +5
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
96Total teleop91
Reef
8L4#9
8L3#9
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
8Foul points0
146Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#11
73.01.7
75.073.2
Auto19.0
Teleop45.1
End8.9
red by 2.9
581B
#24
70.02.2
55.557.7
Auto17.9
Teleop45.2
End6.9
Second
581C
#18
38.02.9
46.443.5
Auto7.9
Teleop27.5
End2.5
blue by 2.5
8033
#47
40.51.3
45.546.8
Auto10.7
Teleop25.7
End4.1
Third
5419
#23
35.31.7
42.540.8
Auto7.8
Teleop21.8
End5.7
red by 16.8
9706
#40
18.41.3
14.215.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed