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Red128
463560.6
1323C48.9
973B17.2
Blue176
167890.5
469856.1
592414.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13817450100200250300128176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+38
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
7Coral scored#9
37Coral points45
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +24
16Coral scored#20
59Coral points73
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
0Processor points6
16Net points20
16Algae points26
75Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#9
8L3#10
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
27Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
128Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#20
60.60.0
61.661.6
Auto13.6
Teleop37.8
End9.2
blue by 29.9
90.51.4
90.892.2
Auto24.9
Teleop55.5
End10.1
Second
48.90.1
50.050.0
Auto5.6
Teleop41.4
End2.0
blue by 7.3
56.11.4
49.951.3
Auto18.3
Teleop28.3
End9.6
Third
973B
#41
17.20.0
17.017.0
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End2.4
red by 2.6
5924
#46
14.71.4
14.215.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsMissed72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned