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Red153
97358.7
630533.0
876830.1
Blue87
6657B19.1
665739.2
661940.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361175010015020015387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+54Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
26Coral scored#11
95Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
6Processor points12
20Net points24
26Algae points36
121Total teleop74
Reef
9L4#4
12L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
153Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#6
58.71.5
55.056.5
Auto14.1
Teleop35.3
End9.3
red by 17.7
6619
#31
40.92.1
46.844.7
Auto5.3
Teleop29.1
End6.5
Second
6305
#27
33.01.5
32.634.1
Auto4.0
Teleop27.9
End1.0
blue by 6.2
6657
#21
39.22.1
37.635.5
Auto9.8
Teleop25.7
End3.7
Third
8768
#28
30.11.5
32.133.6
Auto2.4
Teleop26.1
End1.6
red by 11.1
19.13.5
22.118.6
Auto2.0
Teleop17.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed