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Red190
281358.1
581757.0
11433.1
Blue161
6647B30.4
207355.5
1323B80.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15615150100200250190161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+27Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points24
21Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +33
26Coral scored#18
95Coral points66
3Processor algae#3
10Net algae#9
18Processor points18
40Net points36
58Algae points54
153Total teleop120
Reef
8L4#11
12L3#5
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#35
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
190Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2813
#17
58.12.9
54.657.6
Auto9.7
Teleop38.6
End9.8
blue by 21.8
80.02.7
59.261.8
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End9.3
Second
5817
#14
57.02.9
56.959.8
Auto8.2
Teleop47.4
End1.5
red by 1.6
2073
#25
55.51.6
53.755.3
Auto12.4
Teleop35.8
End7.3
Third
114
#44
33.12.9
34.537.4
Auto8.4
Teleop23.9
End0.8
red by 2.7
30.42.7
24.226.9
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned