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Red202
1323C48.9
5419B30.5
1323117.0
Blue80
973B17.2
397059.6
971B38.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21511205015020025030020280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+102Teleop
+110Endgame
+122Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +84
24Coral scored#12
86Coral points44
4Processor algae#1
9Net algae#3
24Processor points6
36Net points12
60Algae points18
146Total teleop62
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#3
8L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
43Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +122
12Foul points0
202Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.00.4
114.2114.6
Auto28.3
Teleop76.6
End12.1
red by 57.4
3970
#43
59.62.4
60.858.4
Auto10.2
Teleop41.8
End7.6
Second
48.90.6
50.050.6
Auto5.6
Teleop41.4
End2.0
red by 10.3
971B
#26
38.64.1
38.934.8
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End2.1
Third
30.50.6
20.020.7
Auto0.5
Teleop25.6
End4.4
red by 13.3
973B
#41
17.22.4
17.014.5
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed