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Red86
592414.7
6657B19.1
167154.6
Blue227
84150.6
581B70.0
254100.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7224205010015020030035086227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+47
Teleop+107
Endgame+141
Fouls+141
AutonomousBlue +47
0Leave6
3Coral scored#11
16Coral points57
16Total auto63
TeleoperatedBlue +60
13Coral scored#19
46Coral points68
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#9
6Processor points24
16Net points36
22Algae points60
68Total teleop128
Reef
6L4#10
4L3#7
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
21Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +34
2Cage & park36
2Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +141
0Foul points0
86Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#15
54.60.1
48.348.4
Auto13.9
Teleop36.1
End4.7
blue by 46.2
254
#2
100.81.3
95.897.1
Auto27.4
Teleop63.8
End9.6
Second
19.10.1
18.618.7
Auto2.0
Teleop17.4
End-0.3
blue by 51.0
581B
#24
70.02.2
57.759.9
Auto17.9
Teleop45.2
End6.9
Third
5924
#46
14.70.1
15.615.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End0.6
blue by 36.0
841
#36
50.61.3
50.852.2
Auto11.4
Teleop29.5
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned