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Red199
58190.9
581757.0
213565.2
Blue138
661940.9
281358.1
1678B40.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23614050100200300350199138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+71Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave9
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points11
44Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +47
30Coral scored#18
107Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
139Total teleop92
Reef
18L4#7
11L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
199Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
90.91.4
92.791.3
Auto19.7
Teleop61.7
End9.5
red by 32.8
2813
#17
58.10.5
57.657.1
Auto9.7
Teleop38.6
End9.8
Second
65.21.4
61.860.4
Auto19.3
Teleop42.9
End2.9
red by 24.3
6619
#31
40.90.5
44.744.2
Auto5.3
Teleop29.1
End6.5
Third
5817
#14
57.01.4
59.858.4
Auto8.2
Teleop47.4
End1.5
red by 16.5
40.50.8
36.735.9
Auto6.1
Teleop30.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned